31 Comments

This article is both informative and hilarious

Expand full comment

Love it. I would suggest you change deviance to deviation, however.

Expand full comment

Just incredible!

Expand full comment

What's crazy is that there is basically no set of criteria that you can set up that brings Mahomes back to the pack, let alone make him look bad. The man is nuts! It's a great time to be a Chiefs fan! I'm taking my son and daughter along with my dad down to the season opener against the Browns. I'm so excited for this season! Can't wait! Keep up the great work Seth. Your articles are absolutely my favorite read.

Expand full comment
founding

Amazing and great to know and relish our great fortune. Now I know any non-Chiefs fan I show this will respond that he didn’t look so invincible in the Super Bowl. Point taken but there were many other factors involved there beyond Patrick and no one is perfect. But Patrick is 99.9% perfect and I am quite comfortable with that! Every other fan base would be as well. 😉🥰🤤

Expand full comment

Only asterisk is that Ethan's graph is pre-superbowl. Otherwise, good stuff.

Expand full comment

What I hate, is that if it weren't for some drops of very catchable balls in the Super Bowl, I think Mahomes would still only have losses by less than a score on his resume. I still don't think we win the SB but I think it changes the outcome of the game enough to keep that stat alive.

Expand full comment
Sep 7, 2021Liked by Seth Keysor

DON'T. TAKE. HIM. FOR. GRANTED.

Expand full comment

Seth - You still coming for the game? I didn't see any details.

Expand full comment

Is it bad that I read it as out-lee-er now because of how you pronounced it on #timesours that ONE time?

Expand full comment

It's all about....

#PatStatsFever

Barring a catastrophic injury, he will go down in history as the greatest QB ever. I still have to pinch myself every time I acknowledge that he plays for the Chiefs.

Expand full comment

Pretty incredible. For some reason I still hear YouTubers and various people on social media from time to time talking about how overrated Mahomes and how he's a product of Reid's system and the talent around him.

Although this article is phenomenal put together and does a great job quantifying Mahomes greatness, at this point for most reasonable fans no explanation is needed. And for those that still doubt him no explanation will suffice.

Expand full comment

Wow great link to Scott Kacsmar. Very in depth articles. Thank you.

Seth what is your opinion on Player vs System/Team?

Statistical analysis measures what occurred but does not predict future results.

That’s important because we know great players elevate their team, but how do we separate the results from the team/system dynamic? It’s often said QB’s get too much credit both ways, do you agree? Just interested in hearing your thoughts on it.

For example, is it safe to say a player like Tannehill is being discredited while our Mahomes is getting extra juice?

Expand full comment

Hey Seth. Are you going to the Browns game this Sunday? If so, are you going to be hanging out somewhere for subscribers to say hi? I will be there with my son and daughter and my dad. Would love to meet you.

Expand full comment

> Mahomes always throws for the sticks rather than taking checkdowns

Never really noticed this, but it's absolutely right. 3rd and 19? Better believe its 20 Air Yards.

I wonder if Vegas can fully account for this level of outlier. What kind of anytime odds could you get for a Mahomes comeback. Even?

Expand full comment